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That's kind of what I'm saying; it's clear now that when I made that prediction, NF had already started going after original content.


Idealistically and technologically there was nothing preventing them from streaming directly, but realistically they had decades of contracts to re-engineer to do so, not to mention the fact that they are huge companies with a fundamental stability that prevents them from innovating.

From somewhere else (via NFLX Wikipedia):

In a 2010 New York Times interview, Time Warner CEO Jeffrey Bewkes downplayed Netflix as a threat to more traditional media companies. Bewkes told the newspaper, "It's a little bit like, is the Albanian army going to take over the world? I don’t think so." At the same time, he recognized that the company's DVD service may have contributed to a decline in DVD sales, and regarding the industry's willingness to make special deals with Netflix in the future, he added "this has been an era of experimentation, and I think it's coming to a close."


Oh, I see what you're saying now; the "large ships" are the current content holders.

I agree, and this is why netflix has time to build up a library of original content. It's bootstrapping its success off the backs of its future competitors. I will predict though, that when Disney's current contract with netflix expires (2020ish IIRC), they won't renew.




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