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No way in or out of Burning Man after storm (sfgate.com)
188 points by ohjeez on Sept 2, 2023 | hide | past | favorite | 227 comments


At BRC now. It sucks. Everything is flooded. The man is not going to burn. There are 2 more days of rain forecasted. My guess is Wednesday when driving will be possible.


> The man is not going to burn

I promise you, the man will burn if the burners are at all dedicated to the cause. Dried wood only soaks a few millimeters of rain unless it's completely submerged for a very long time. Use an accelerant to get it started, and nature will do the rest.


Will they be allowed to? I imagine there is some sort of agreement with local/state government in place and this rain will already cause them to keep the camp up longer than was probably approved.


> Will they be allowed to?

Well, I cannot answer that, but I believe my hedge "if the burners are at all dedicated to the cause" still applies?


I mean who's gonna stop em?


Man will burn tomorrow



Thanks for the actual updates and photos.

I’m curious: What’s your internet access setup there?


Camp had shared internet from the org. That stopped working so joined the plug and play camps WiFi which is starlink.


Starlink primarily. There is no cell service out there.


You can get a few bars of T-Mobile from the right spot, at least last time I was there.


Indeed, a friend was just texting me from Burning Man an hour ago.


404. That’s an error.

The requested URL was not found on this server. That’s all we know.


404


url is 404 unfortunately


The live webcam from Burning Man is still up.

https://burningman.org/live-webcast/

The camera rotates randomly once in a while, so you can see everything. Not raining much, if at all. Some mud. Overcast. Maybe 75 people total are wandering around in the mud. A few random art installations. Everybody else is probably in the big RV park.

Looks boring, but not dangerous.


New update at 1830 Sunday 3 September: [1]

Exit road still unusable for non-offroad vehicles. Current plans are to reopen it on Monday 4 September. Sanitation trucks are now servicing porta-potties again. Comm, power, and emergency services are up.

The actual "burn" is now scheduled for 2100 Monday 4 September. Maybe.

Reno Airport does not have space for people who escape, but Reno hotels do.

"Participants are not being detained. ... The Burning Man organization’s advice is for participants to delay their departures to avoid getting stuck in the mud, but people are free to leave should they choose to do so."

"The online rumors of transmissible illnesses in Black Rock City are unfounded and untrue."

[1] https://burningman.org/event/wetplaya2023/


https://bmir.org/

The Burning Man radio station, live on playa. I think they're right next to the livecam this year, but am not sure.

If you'd like up to date-ish info on the scene, BMIR is a good enough resource. Seems that most Burners are resigned to getting out on Tuesday at this point.


In news just in:

Burning Man: Police investigating death during heavy rain

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66700006

    An investigation has been launched into the death of a person during torrential rain at the Burning Man festival in the US state of Nevada.

    No further details have been given about the circumstances of their death.

    In a statement on Saturday, the Pershing County Sheriff's Office said it is "currently investigating a death which occurred during this rain event", and that the person's family had been notified.


Those climate protesters who tried to blockade the entrance are probably laughing now: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e8fDM60MS84

(Though it seems unlikely that a particular rainstorm could be attributed to climate change.)


I watched the vid, idk how I feel now. The protestors appear to have been illegally protesting. I really know nothing about it apart from what was in the vid. Having said that, the/some people going to Burning Man, didn't seem like very nice people either.

I get that blocking the road isn't cool at the best of times, but feel this could've been handled better.

I'm not from the US, so had no clue who Rangers are (are they like police?). To me, at first they looked like hire a cop from the festival. While it looked like the first Ranger truck started a dialog, another decided to go a more violent route. There are a few cuts in the vid there, so it's not clear how long dialog was tried or what happened during that time and how justified the violent end was.

Coming from a country where police are generally pretty chill unless really provoked, how this was ended seemed extreme to me.

The comments in the vid kinda scare me tbh. It'll all fun and games, till you're at the receiving end, or someone dies.


Those aren’t BLM rangers; they’re the law enforcement of the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe.


Rangers are basically “the cops” of BLM land, so if there’s an issue they’re the ones who will show up. In general these guys do the best with what they’ve got and they probably hate BM and all the hassle it brings. A normal weekend in rural Nevada requires maybe a call about a rancher’s lost livestock or a normal patrol route. These guys are certainly ill equipped to handle 70k outsiders showing up for a week, and particularly not well equipped for settling interpersonal/ideological disputes elegantly. I think their “ram down the barricade” strategy is pretty parsimonious given the time and tools they have to deal with protests and angry travelers.


I have met many BLM Rangers at Burning Man. Nearly all were super-into the event, and many had specifically requested the assignment.


Just to clarify

* Bureau of Land Management law enforcement rangers https://www.blm.gov/programs/law-enforcement/what-we-do

are not the same thing as

* Black Rock Rangers, a self-organized volunteer safety team of Burners https://burningman.org/event/participate/volunteering/teams/...

And neither are the same thing as Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribal Police, which others have said is who is featured in the video. I have no idea. But the uniforms of the three different entities probably don't look much alike.


Burning Man has been happening there for 30 years. I find it impossible to believe they are "ill equipped to handle 70k outsiders showing up for a week".


Aaah, thanks for explaining. Yeah can imagine they're not fans of the yearly event and the hassle it brings.


The rangers in the video are actually a tribal police department.


illegally protesting

gasps!


America has never protested or done anything illegal. It was peacefully formed after they hugged it out with England.


Pretty disappointing how big of a jerk that one burner guy appears to be, including physically intimidating behavior. I don't know much about BM ethos but this is not the sort of person I want to be spending time around


Huge traffic jam full of Trucks that never ever drove off the road. Only few truck drivers deciding supremely risky move of driving on flat grassy shoulder.


There is a peer-reviewed method to attribute extreme events to climate change. It was used successfully to attribute some heat waves and floods in Europe this year to climate change: https://ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/6/177/2020/ascmo-6-177...


Posting from BRC via Starlink intermittently powered by solar (it's a foggy day). The sound camps are bumping their music out across playa and people are venturing out (on foot) to go dancing. Hopefully everyone realizes that now is not the time to take a shower and to conserve water and other consumables.

If you try driving you'll get about 10 feet and then you'll sink up to the middle of the wheels.


Folks, the article is breathless and ridiculous.

As someone who is not there, but who has been there four times and run build lead for my camp...

Rain is not unheard of. It's probably pretty muddy and less fun than it normally would be.

Nobody is starving or dying of dehydration, and there is no danger of that. Most camps (and many people) have a huge surplus of supplies. Last time I was there, I drove out with a few dozen cans of sparkling water that I just didn't get to hand out.

There are PLENTY of supplies.

The worst thing that could happen is that somebody has a medical emergency and are unable to be evacuated until Monday/Tuesday. That's a real concern, but there are plenty of platforms that can land a helicopter if that's necessary.

This isn't the catastrophe calling for FEMA involvement that the article makes it sound like. :rolleyes:


If you're there, shelter in place, and listen to people who are more experienced. This helps the medics.

Typically many medical issues are straightforward to triage and treat with field kits. Then the medics ask the person's friends to drive the person to Reno for more in-depth care.

Examples in my experience are twisted ankles, broken arms, alcohol sickness, dehydration, cardiac events, infections, lost prescriptions, overdoses, electrocutions, eye scratches, falls from heights, power tool slips, cold exposure, and of course burns.

This year, it turns out the timing of the rain makes for new kinds of challenges for the medics, because they're unable to use many of the transport vehicles that are akin to golf carts. And the medics are currently unable to refer people to Reno.

In a city of 70K+ people who planned for 5 days on average, now stuck for 3 more days because of the rain, estimate 50%+ more medical issues. And no way currently to drive to Reno.

In parallel, some generators will run out of gas supplies, some portas and bathrooms will run out of supplies and servicing, some heaters will run out of propane, etc. This combination tends to make people uneasy and somewhat irrational.

This is why shelter in place is important: it helps reduce accidents and injuries, and helps people to feel calm and think clearly. Help the medics and volunteers by staying put, being more careful than usual, and helping people as you can.

The advice to conserve supplies, and keep warm, is not because the whole city is likely to run out or freeze-- it's because medics want to minimize people wandering around the city seeking supplies, and want to keep people in good physical health and good mental health.


That is not a counterpoint. Counterpoint to what?

Not sure where I said "don't shelter in place". Not sure where I said "don't listen to people more experienced".

All I said is that nobody is going to starve or die of dehydration because they ran out of food/water. I stand behind that.


When I wrote counterpoint, I meant to your opening "Folks, the article is breathless and ridiculous" and closing ":rolleyes:" because those sound (to me) like shallow dismissals. And felt (to me) like you were downplaying safety measures.

I'll delete my counterpoint word. My comment focuses on safety measures.


I don't understand your point? The article sounds reasonable:

"If you are in BRC, conserve food and water, shelter in a warm space,” warned festival organizers according to the Reno Gazette Journal. The news site reported that 73,000 people (a larger population than the city of Santa Cruz) are currently at the festival."

Which sounds like a reasonable reminder to not dump your water jugs and toss your remaining food in trash bags when you're packing up your camp because you may be there a few days longer than expected.


I also thought your point is to disregard safety measures. Perhaps because your original comment says that the article is ridiculous; and the article, sensationalized or not, advises to “conserve food and water, shelter in a warm space”.


But I didn't say that. You just made that assumption.

Just because the article is ridiculous does not mean I disagree with every single thing in there. I just think it's ridiculous, particularly in tone.

And also, I stand behind saying there's plenty of food and water. So, by all means "conserve food and water" if you want to, but saying that people "need" to is overstating the reality.


So why are you downplaying this?


I think you're both attacking this problem from similar places. Panicking is a good way to get people to disregard safety measures. Shelter in place is important and one way to help it work is to reassure people that there are enough supplies.

From what I gathered, you're both saying that the correct situation is to stay in place because there are enough supplies? The key is to reinforce that idea and downplay the risk as long as everyone listens. If the roads are muddy and miserable remember that the more experienced participants prepared for this. Staying with them, sheltering in place is your best bet. If you try to leave and not follow safety protocols and the experienced participants you're likely to get yourself into trouble.

While you two are arguing it seems to be on the angle of approach and not the outcome. At least that's what it seems like to me who honestly has no idea what's going on and only barely read the article.


Seriously? You're still confused?

I believe the article is factually correct-ish, but is sensationalized and is spreading FUD and causing unnecessary potential panic.

That's why. I'm downplaying because it needs downplaying.


> I believe the article is factually correct-ish, but is sensationalized and is spreading FUD and causing unnecessary potential panic.

This wording is clear to me.

If this was in your original comment, I wouldn’t assume that you’re recommending to disregard safety measures.

Otherwise “ridiculous” or “:rolleyes:” are very ambiguous to me.


I’m not clear where the article says people are going to starve or die or dehydration.


Lack of easy transportation can quickly turn a merely inconvenient or uncomfortable situation into an extremely dangerous one.

Break a leg in front of the hospital? Super minor.

Break a leg 40 miles from the nearest road? Extremely serious.

Mud, especially with huge numbers of people, has a way of turning the former situation into the latter situation rather quickly.

Also who’s being breathless? The article didn’t mention FEMA.


You are not 40 miles from the nearest road at Burning Man. You are a couple of miles from the nearest road.


Don’t worry buddy I don’t think mud physically moves roads further away.

A couple miles of hard-to-navigate terrain and a bit of hubris is plenty to kill someone.


Breaking a leg isn't serious if medical transportation is available, and it sounds like it is.


Sure hope so! You know what can change that though? More mud.

No one is asking to fly in the military here or something. People are observing: “oh, that seems like a risky situation that could go very south very quickly.”


breaking a leg or arm can be lethal due to immediate complications or emergent complications due to lack of prompt evaluation and treatment.


Sure, but that is not the common situation.

One advantage of everything being deep intractable mud - mud is soft! So less chance of compound fractures from a fall at least.

Though vehicle recovery is going to be epic. And that is a good way to break/kill people if not done very carefully.

I’ve seen (very expensive) vehicles end up completely destroyed and abandoned when someone wandered a bit too far out into a surprisingly wet/soft lakebed (around Ballarat/Trona - I can still see it on Google Maps, and it got stuck well over 20 years ago!), so I imagine we’ll have plenty of stories of drama to snack on popcorn over when this is all said and done.


>>Sure, but that is not the common situation. <<

-- when prompt attention is available.

falls are not the only cause of bone fracture.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2700578/


Nope. As noted in the paper, they are rare except for in severe trauma without prompt attention.

Otherwise us humans would have a MUCH lower survival rate than we already do out in the wild.

Or as the paper notes “The etiology may be traumatic or, rarely, nontraumatic.”

Non-compound fractures can still cause serious issues if complicated somehow, or even long term loss of function of course if they aren’t set correctly, among other less than ideal chronic issues, which should be done ASAP.

But it’s not like someone is likely to die (or even suffer serious long term issues) from an uncomplicated ulnar fracture if they don’t get to the ER within a few days, for instance.

The amount of water I’m seeing come down in the Truckee area right now sure is epic though, so no question they are in for a ride!


>> without prompt attention <<

nope. there is no prompt attention in the current situation

as noted in the paper incidence of fat embolism approaches 30%

many undiagnosed incidence are discovered post mortem.

you are attempting to minimize a dangerous situation.

===========

>> EPIDEMIOLOGY

The incidence of FES ranges from < 1 to 29% in different studies. It varies considerably according to the cause. The actual incidence of FES is not known, as mild cases often go unnoticed.

Bulger et al.,[3] in their retrospective study, reported an incidence of < 1%, while Fabian et al. in their prospective study, reported an incidence of 11–29%.[4] Surprisingly, the incidence was 0.9% when only clinical criteria were used to diagnose FES, whereas with the aid of postmortem examination the incidence was as high as 20%.[2] <<

2. Georgopoulos D, Bouros D. Fat embolism syndrome clinical examination is still the preferable diagnostic method. Chest. 2003;123:982–3.

3. Bulger EM, Smith DG, Maier RV, Jurkovich GJ. Fat embolism syndrome: A 10 years review. Arch Surg. 1997;132:435–9.

4. Fabian TC, Hoots AV, Stanford DS, Patterson CR, Mangiante EC. Fat embolism syndrome, prospective evaluation in 92 fractured patients. Crit Care Med. 1990;18:42–6.


Your own refs point out it is usually not a problem, and there are very low occurancy rates. The situations it’s a problem, it’s obvious that there was a severe break.

The folks seeing higher rates are seeing them because their samples are coming from data sets with specific trauma backgrounds. Which is not surprising. If you look at postmortem results for people who died with broken bones, those folks all had severe issues! They died.

Probably none of them caused by getting their arm slammed in a car door, for example. Most likely caused by long falls off ladders, or car accidents, or industrial accidents, or getting beaten to death, or shot, or any number of traumatic events.

If you look at a dataset of all broken bones (which will be difficult to do frankly, as 90% of them won’t even show up in a database as they’ll be handled in an outpatient setting), the numbers will look wildly different.

In this situation if it was serious they’d just get medivac’d then. Which is not going to be difficult in this situation. If someone gets hit/run over with a vehicle, or hit by machinery, or has a giant pile of lumber collapse on them, or whatever, it’s not like anyone is going to tell them ‘oops, nothing we can do!’.

It’s mud. It makes walking and driving difficult. It isn’t going to make it hard for a helicopter with a decent pilot, especially with a helpful ground team. Reno has a very good medical center (several, actually).


>> In this situation if it was serious they’d just get medivac’d then. <<

there we go, good one.


What are you even going on about?


I live about 2 hrs south of BM quite near the route that all the burners take to get to BM. It's rainy, has been for the last two days. But this is Nevada. It'll dry up and be like it never happened in no time.


> It'll dry up and be like it never happened in no time.

With more rain slated for today and Sunday, and the fact that it ends on Monday, I wouldn't be so optimistic.


I live in Utah and have spent a lot of time on and around dry like beds. They do not “dry up quickly”. A quarter inch under the crust is likely going to be mud for weeks or months. Some vehicles might be fine but heavy ones are in deep $&@! until they are recovered. Just my uninformed opinion.


Yup. Going to be a lot of rental RV’s that ‘are not going to Burning Man, we promise!’ abandoned out there.

Fun times!


I didn't say it would dry up today, I said it'll dry up quickly when the rain stops.


Dry lake beds/playas tend to work differently. The caliche/clay tends to crust over and keep the fun, nasty goo around just under the surface for a lot longer than anyone expects. If someone goes out onto it, they can break through into stuff that doesn’t support any weight.

Kind of like if it was thin ice, but it’s actually (mildly) caustic mud.

That said, never tested this on that specific playa. It’s also usually somewhat location dependent even within a specific lakebed.

Don’t be surprised though if it takes months (next year? If there are followup storms) for some of these vehicles to be extracted.


The only thing breathless seems to be your response to the article. It seems like a pretty straightforward laying out of the facts along with official recommendations and statements.


The article seems to be reporting the facts in a fairly reasonable manner. We have friends who are there and they told us this exact same information: They've been told to conserve, no porta-potty cleaning is coming anytime soon, they may not make it out until Wednesday.

The article doesn't even say they are running out of supplies, other than the organizers have told people to conserve.


Original forecast called for 1 day of rain at .3". Forecast as of now has 3 days of rain and a total of 1".

Government involvement will incur a fee to the org. All the BLM LEO rolled off playa to avoid this.


Just an inch of rain over 3 days doesn't sound that bad. Wind, hail and lightning are more pressing dangers if big thunderclouds develop.


Burning man is in the Black Rock Desert. The Black Rock Desert is an endorheic basin. There are no outflows. The lake bed itself is 1,000 sq miles. The drainage that drains into the lake bed is 11,600 sq miles.

An inch of rain isn't a big deal, but when you concentrate it 11:1 it becomes very serious very quickly.


Desert ground is hard and mostly impervious. That 1" of rain will mostly run off from the surrounding area into the now not so dry lakebed. There's a dry lakebed not far from me a little smaller than up there and an inch of rain can easily lead to a foot of standing water if the rain happens over a widespread area in the watershed of that lakebed. I hope they packed stilts!


One hundredth of an inch impacts travel on the dried lake bed


While I don't disagree with you at all, the majority of burners are probably not well supplied build leads for their own camps. I went last year and while I was very well supplied and had a large RV with my own solar-powered refrigerator, I met up with friends that were not as wealthy and probably fit the typical profile for burners. They stayed in a tent, were at a camp with a centralized power source with a somewhat strict rationing system. They typically planned out their day such that most meals involved free food prepared using ingredients procured from a service that required driving into the campgrounds to make deliveries every day to many different camps. Many burners depend on water that is also delivered by water trucks that to perform water deliveries that were ordered and scheduled weeks before the event. You may be neglecting that not everybody is well-supplied and could barely afford the ticket and transportation.


Which is why the “radical self-reliance” thing is so ironic/sad in this situation. Most people aren’t there for that, despite the warnings that RSR is part of the deal, the fact is that anyone who’s particularly interested in that kind of experience is already solo backpacking or something this weekend.


Damn... I am man enough to concede that you just Uno-Reversed my argument. You even had the sense not to introduce new thoughts that I could potentially attack out of spitefulness. Extra points, even, because the fact that I didn't think of it first undermines the fact that I attended it last year since I obviously didn't read the principles. I'm more impressed than insulted, btw.


That’s fine. Until you consider the inability to empty the portaloos.


This is the last 2 days of Burning Man. How on earth would there be plenty of supplies left at this point? I bet most supplies were used up intending to leave tomorrow. If they are stuck there for several days they actually could run out of supplies. This is a weirdly arrogant statement to make.


That's all valid as long as people behave rational, what some people don't do in such situations.


Gee, I sure hope nobody at burning man is taking mind altering drugs! ;)


It’s been impossible for me to get a ticket to attend. How do I increase my odds of getting one? You’re lucky to have gone 4 times already!


Burning man has peaked. This year there were tons of people trying to sell their ticket at discount. Some friends were giving away tickets. I don't think we will see the same demand again. Which is good - 70k people is more than enough.

Next year, just watch craigslist or fb marketplace a month beforehand.


Or maybe people's ability to attend is simply a function of the economy, which is currently in high interest rate territory. The cost to attend is the equivalent of a trip to Europe for a week or a month, depending on how you roll. With things how they are, people simply can't take the time off work or afford to go.


You'll have about 250k people at Glastonbury, but there is alot to do at Glastonbury having been a few times, so 70k sounds rather cosy, which seems so unusual for the US which normally does things bigger and better.

Going to Burning Man is something on my bucket list, which is why your comment surprised me, how can you say its peaked?


80% of the time when someone says an event peaked it’s because they’ve aged out of the event or the event evolved in a way that wasn’t to their liking.

You should totally go if you get a chance, but to be clear Burning Man is not a music festival a la Glasto. It’s much more of an art festival than anything else, and it’s really spectacular.

Also just ignore the lore around anti-capitalism, eco friendly yada yada. It’s a really sick party for super rich people and the artists they patronize.


It is possible to have the opinion that burning man is great and also that it has hit the upper bound of popularity.

This year was different - it was super easy to get tickets, often at steep discount. I don't see why next year will be different, especially with horror stories getting off the playa this year.

This is a good thing! If you want to go, now you can.


That’s usually not what people mean when they say an event peaked. The “peak” is always well below the highest-attendance, because it clearly was already uncool when attendance hit its max.


This YT video from 2019 seems like a good explainer.

It does attract some good DJ's though, I mean a $3-8m 70KW moving sound system/dance floor seems pretty awesome, aka the Mayan Warrior.

https://youtu.be/QRbC3GPW1HI?t=1290


It is because Burning Man is not Glastonbury. If it hadn't peaked in popularity before this it sure has now.

That really doesn't mean anything as far as the quality of the experience. It might even be better subjectively with less people. If it is something you really want to experience then go sooner rather than later though. I really loved BM when I was younger but I have aged out and it is pretty much the last thing I would want to do now. This mud just hammers that point home for me.


You should find a camp to join that can help coordinate tickets. (Whether Directed Group Sale or just having the network for overflow tickets.) Unless you’re prepared to spend $$$ and suffer through figuring out a lot to truly DIY it, it’ll be a much better experience to be part of a camp that knows what it is doing anyway.


It was a super easy year to get tickets, there were tons on craigslist in the Bay Area


[flagged]


Have you been to burning man, because it sounds like you have not.

Food and water is everywhere. They will not run out unless this thing lasts another week.

If some people run out, others will have extra. Of this I am 100% sure.


Food and water are everywhere until they are not.

70k ppl consume a vast quantity of food and water every hour. Once stuff runs out things get dicey very fast. Yes another week would almost surely lead to that eventuality - but when is the tipping point exactly? Hard to know.

Food ppl can manage without for a couple of days, but water is a different matter. Many camps may be relying on regular top ups of their water cube, and camp mates may not bring reserves because of the camp provided water. If water cannot get into BRC then you have a simple maths problem - water on playa / ppl on playa = time.


[flagged]


We are talking about something on the order of a week here. Are you suggesting that survival-level us-vs-them greed will take hold in that timeframe?


Having met people before, yes.


We're going to run out of water!

How?

Because of all the rain!


In France, media told us underground water reserves were overflowing after hyping drought for 6 months (tip: if you don’t cherry-pick the stats, there is no more drought than every year). So they argued that drought causes the overflowing of phreatic reserves. Later during the summer we had heavy rains. Now everyone jokes that we have heavy rains due to drought.

Seriously I hope the media will stop preaching in one direction. Today they try to demonstrate GW, but miserably fail at it, since they’re commenting weather and not climate. They’re doing more damage than they solve.


I believe drought causes flooding or overflow because the land dries up and doesn't absorb the water.


“San Francisco to remain empty for two to three more days”


Absolute paradise. Just nice tourists.


>Death at Burning Man investigated in US, thousands stranded by flooding

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/3/death-under-investig...

>Trapped in Mud, Burning Man Attendees Are Told to Conserve Food

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/02/us/burning-man-storm-floo...


Willing to bet any amount of money that the death is drug related. There are a handful every year.


I'll take that bet. I'm guessing something electricity-related during a flood, or CO poisoning from a grill or heater inside a tent or trailer.

Also, one death per year is typical.

--------

2010: A man died in his tent from carbon monoxide poisoning due to a propane heater.

2011: A woman died from injuries sustained in a tent fire.

2012: A man was found dead in his tent; the cause was not publicly disclosed.

2014: A woman was struck and killed by a bus carrying festival participants.

2015: A man died from a fall at his campsite.

2017: A man ran into a fire and died from burn injuries.

2018: A man was found unresponsive in his vehicle and later pronounced dead; the cause was not publicly disclosed.

2019: A death was reported, but the cause was not publicly disclosed.


Being in a desert during an El Niño season is a poor decision. It does rain occasionally and I don’t think people going to camp with a days worth of food in small tents understand the risk of a desert climate.

Also, it’s not that remote. Diplo and Chris Rock walked 5 miles out of the site and got picked up and driven back so while the situation does suck, it’s not like they are alone in the great white north 100 miles from civilization. It’s off a road only a few miles.


Ex-Burner climate activists blockaded the BRC entrance for 30 minutes a few days ago. It shows that whatever climate activists can't stop the climate eventually will.


I had to look it up but apparently a playa is a dry lake bed.


Yep turns to a caustic mud. There was a weird weather modification attempt during the 2000 one. Mandated curfew one night everyone ordered to stay in their camps events canceled. Sunny day and 4 huge military cargo aircraft come from east circle and head south then weather came from south west and windy that night. Anyways what ever happened the playa gets less comfortable when it's wet and cool.


Do you mean caustic as in the dictionaty definition of caustic? That is, the mud on the playa turns corrosive when mixed with water?


The playas in Nevada aren't "dirt" in the conventional sense. They are covered in layers of alkali salts that precipitated out of the lakes that used to be there, with chemistry influenced by Nevada's active volcanic geology. It can be quite corrosive and you probably don't want to subject your skin to it for extended periods of time. Nevada has a very wide range of pH found in nature due to its geochemistry.


It’ll definitely screw up your skin (not fatally), and can cause corrosion to vehicles and the like. It’s mostly alkaline though. So think (weak) lye, not acidic.

PH is around 10


Yes — the lake beds in the west are generally covered in alkali dust. Add water and you get a caustic basic mud slurry.


not even just when mixed with water. you can develop some really nasty cracks and lesions.


is there something not hard to believe about that?


Kind of, yes. Normally one thinks of something like lye being caustic, not dirt, even when wet.


Well think about it this way

Baking soda (Sodium bicarbonate) is something like pH 8, sodium carbonate (What you get if you put bicarbonate in the oven at 400 degrees for an hour or so) is something like ph 10-11, and is a large component of alkalai soils. [1] You probably won't have a problem with baking soda but the more basic form of it (as we call 'washing soda') is definitely something you don't want on your skin for long periods of time. I suggest making some in the oven to soak some soiled socks or something you have - but careful breathing the dust in, you'll notice that it's way sharper on your nose than baking soda.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alkali_soil


Yep, most of Nevada used to be covered by a massive lake. It's pretty wild to think about. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Lahontan


This is totally standard for all British music festivals since they were invented, don’t see what the drama is about.


The Black Rock Desert is way more remote (certainly from Reno, and possibly even from Gerlach) than any British music festival I've been to, I'd much rather get stuck in your average British mud than the lake-bed clay that's up there, and then there's the climate. I say this having been to both – they're very different.


Big rainfall in the desert can get pretty nasty. One reason (among others) is that a lot of deserts rest on caliche, which is a hard layer of clay-ish soil that doesn't absorb water very well. So instead of soaking into the ground, water flows over the ground, and that's how you get flash flooding.

In Black Rock specifically, they're also setting up camp on a literal dried-up lake bed, so when the playa floods it turns back into a huge, muddy lake.


Yup. Also Woodstock got famously rained upon, and people just went along with all the mud.


The article paints a pretty dire picture. Having never been to that part of the world, is the nearest place that could support Reno? I assume this would need a post-hurricane type support airdrop of supplies?


You’re told when you buy a ticket to prepare for this sort of event - it’s happened before. So anyone who’s actually on their shit will have enough food, water, etc to wait for it to dry out and leave normally. They even explicitly advise bringing a bucket to turn into a makeshift toilet if something like this happens and shuts down the porta potties.

That said, I’d bet a sizable fraction of the attendees are completely unprepared or dependent on others to get them ready. Probably people will share extra supplies with them. Maybe this entire event will expose just how commercialized it’s gotten.


Despite the existence of shift pods, and plug and play camping, it's not "Burning Man, brought to you by Budget Rental" level of commercialized. Thankfully theres EDC and other events to take that stead.


It's really only a couple of hours by car or truck, on well paved streets. Gerlach is the small town on the edge of the park, they have at least places to stage rescue/supply events.


The issues is car's can't drive in the mud. When it rains, in less than 10 feet, your cars tires will be 50 submerged. So you can't even make it 100 ft, much less to the paved road to Gerlach.


It’s not dire. People overpack, and anyone asking for water or food will get it. There won’t be ice, people’s generators will run out of gas, and I’m sure some people will run out of acid and have nothing to do, but no one is going to need supplies air dropped in.


The story that will get any clicks though is about the pending Burning Man disaster. Of course no one wants to read about reality and how this is not a big deal.

No one will even remember this was a story by Thursday.


There isn't any food or sales at the event so everyone packs enough for a week. Which really means people pack for two weeks. People also bring enough water for a week of 100 degree weather. But it's not that.

Friend had a rubbermaid food bin he used for camping. One time on a walkabout he decided to eat all of it and see how long it lasted him. Lasted three weeks.


So who else has contributed to the MegaGoGo campaign to Build A 300-Mile Wall Around SF During Burning Man, a community effort to construct a 300-mile wall in one week and prevent Burning Man attendees from returning to the Bay Area?

http://megagogo.co/


Live webcam: https://burningman.org/live-webcast/

Looks empty. Either few got in or most left.


Everyone is still there hanging out in the camping section. Riding a bike or walking on the wet playa is super tough as it cakes everywhere and super slippery. Not there now but was there when I rained a bunch in 2014.


I watched this for a little bit, it does pan over to the campground which is packed full of tents/tarps/cars. But the "main event" area is totally barren you are correct.


We had an Empty Hills festival in Russia like this one. Was it 2009?

A combination of heavy rain, bad soil and bridges being floated away, splitting the event into two.

It resulted in a song how the helpless white collar proletariat lost its self esteem to dirt. Otherwise, was fun.

You had to walk for a mile heels deep through dirt field which featured a stranded UAZ 4x4 van in the middle.

Next year, they built these massive arched wooden bridges and urged people to stay clear of bridge and keep walking, which gave plot for another song.


Ha! Are any of these songs on YouTube?


https://ru-umka.livejournal.com/787469.html - now I'm actually not sure if it was made into a song

Latter is https://youtu.be/KGymzHBALdU?si=T_ZkOWhatPSFyvGI - anachronistic since I would expect it to be about 2010 event.

There's a video from the event, though: https://youtu.be/yIfGwYKPj2Q?si=6UUg5SepczrDME6E


The people I've talked to there are mostly worried about missed flights and missed days of work and are otherwise totally fine. Next time we chat I'll ask about the bathroom situation! Though I suppose if push comes to shove you can always dig holes for a couple days.


You can but part of the awkward geological/hydrological fact of the matter is that whatever you leave there will be waiting for you next year. 70k people all taking a poo in a basin with no inflows/outflows will probably have some interesting consequences for the otherwise geologically stagnant area.


> Though I suppose if push comes to shove you can always dig holes for a couple days.

Don't shit in standing water. Don't walk in water you just shit in. Currently everyone is surrounded by water. Shitting in a hole is just shitting in the water you're walking in.



This is probably most of what I will hear about at burner parties for the next year.


What it looks like for those curious:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wLHcrPA8uI


It must be part of the Burning Man experience, right?


What am I missing here? Flat walk in comfortable temps in a straight line. 5 miles with a bit of rain and some mud. I wouldn't do this in heels, but this doesn't seem life threatening


I thought the same, but from what I understand

- Large portion has no mobile phone coverage

- Areas with so much rain that it is like mud + quicksand (no experience with this, is this the case?)

- Heavy rain + clay makes shoes stick with each step

- No lights

- Some people have gone to burning man with children (didnt know this was possible) https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2023/09/01/2023-b...

- Rain continues so unclear if the better decision is to stay put vs walk

- 70,000 people stuck


A 4 year old can walk 5 miles. You don't need cell service- if you can read a map, or just look for landmarks, you will be fine. Moon is still bright. Walking though mud is annoying but easier than deep snow. Getting your stuff back might be annoying, but there's no reason most of these people couldn't walk out of they had to. I've been stranded by a natural disaster-waited a few days and hitchhiked out after fording a river that took out the only bridge. This is just sensationalist stuff; a few tech bros will miss work on Tuesday, but that's the major effect


Here's video of the site: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wLHcrPA8uI

So you're suggesting people just leave everything there and walk 5 miles to the road and get a ride home. Maybe come back later to see if anything is left?


Burning Man Traffic @bmantraffic

Do not travel to Black Rock City! Access to the city is closed for the remainder of the event, and you will be turned around.

11:48 AM · Sep 2, 2023


Raining Man.


Burning Mud


Drowning Man


Hipster Fyre Festival


The first few paragraphs are confusing. Are the attendees unable to drive out through the mud, or are they forbidden to try by local authorities? Or some of both, forbidden to try because they might get stuck even worse?


They can if they'd like to, but they're unable. The kind of mud they're dealing with is very slippery, so, unless you bring a vehicle specifically designed for it, you're not going to be able to drive on it without being sunk up to your axles.


It's strongly discouraged: if people drive and get badly stuck clogging the roads and exit gate, the problem will be even worse and the bulk of the people will be stuck for even longer.

"Please do NOT drive at this time. Road conditions differ based on the neighborhood. We will update you on the driving ban after this weather front has left the area.

It will hamper Exodus if we have cars stuck on roads in our camping areas, or on the Gate Road out of the city. PLEASE don’t be that person. The roads will dry. The issue is NO LONGER ruining the roads (that is the concern before we start the event), but once we are in Exodus we need the roads to be clear, and not to have vehicles blocking traffic flow."


Would scoop tires work?

(If you brought them along on a spare set of rims and swapped them when it became clear what weather was coming)


Mud tires would help, but only if you have 4WD really. With mud, you need floatation as much as you need traction, so, mud tires tend to be much wider with deeper tread.

Usually paddle tires (the ones with scoops) are used in sand, not mud.


there's a good image of a jeep that attempted to drive out that is fossilized half way up in dried mud at this point


That image (if it's the one circulating on twitter) is from years ago and not this event.


I would imagine that the authorities won't let you try to drive out if your vehicle doesn't look like it can handle traveling miles through deep mud. If nothing else, then because they'd then be obligated to rescue you when you inevitably get stuck.


Having been there on and off for twenty years, rain storms during BRC are not a new thing. Maybe this is something extraordinary (I'm not there right now) but I really doubt it.


It rained a lot in e.g. 2014 but it was just before and at the start of the event. I don't think there was a time there was anywhere near 73k people already inside unable to leave expecting a couple of days of rain to come right when everyone was planned to head home. At best outlook, this is going to be one of the worst events to have gone to. I don't think it'll be a disaster but I would say it's extraordinary.


In 2000 there was a storm like this starting Monday afternoon. So most people left before or during the start. I think there was only 500 that were stuck for a few days. Since then I've always been aware this could happen. One of my friends was up there and bailed out yesterday for that reason.

One of my long term thoughts about the event is the BLM really needs to require those guys to buy and install ground protection mats to put on their gate road. Probably cost $300k for a mile of the stuff or $10 per participant.


Could anyone even drove to gate road in this epic mud without a tank?


This is worse than 2014 for sure. Plus more rain is forecasted. We got here on Thursday so were aware, but did not think it would be this bad.


I think the extraordinary thing here is that it's happening right when everyone wants to leave.


Is it normal to not be able to leave burning man (airport shut down, no cars, no bikes?)

I’ve never been. But the feeling of being stranded with no possible way of leaving would have me going crazy in about 3 hours.


Walking to 447 is 3.5 miles, if I did not have a vehicle then it would be the easiest option for egress.


Last time I was there in the rain I remember walking was quite difficult since every step added 4-6 inches to your height.


Can you make a snowshoe like device to help with this? Not saying to do so and hope everyone comes out merely a bit dirtier than normal.


Snow doesn't stick to your shoes the same way mud does. Snow shoes are meant to distribute your weight over a larger surface area to prevent you from sinking down. With mud, it's not so much sinking down as it is clinging to your shoes.


plastic bags, duct taped to your ankles is best


Don't walk in the mud. Or do, and be laughed at / cajoled by everyone else.


Rain like this is rare buts it’s shut down exit like this before, this isn’t unprecedented. Even during a normal year they shut down entry/exit when sandstorms reduce visibility - often for a couple of hours every few days.


Sandstorms are obvious a problem.

But why rain? There's a road leading up there, right? (or at least somewhere near the festival grounds). Most people will come by car or RV. They can still drive on that road I'd think?

If the festival grounds turn to mud, well... maybe a little detour to get back on that road.

(personally I'd be in no hurry to leave. But if you wanted to, what's holding you back? Organisers saying "road closed"?)


The event is held several miles “into” the dry lake bed - once you get off the paved road, you drive about 1.5 miles on the dry lake bed before you get to the “gate” of the event boundaries. You can see this pretty clearly if you look up its location on Google maps. Right now, the event is completely surrounded, for miles, by muddy lake bed. If you tried to drive your wheels would get jammed up.


It's not regular mud, and you can't really drive on it. It builds up on the wheels and can be pretty deep. It's closer to clay.


It rains on the righteous and the wicked alike


Wacken also had a attendee limit this year due to heavy rain. People who had a ticket were told not to come.


Im curios If this leads long-term to a death of Summer Festivals.


Seems I made the right choice by not going this year!


no dust or heat makes me wonder


no events or burning man also though.


Unless the reason you didn't go was due to possible rain, I would classify this under right decision wrong reason.

Edit: I seem to have touched a soft spot lol.


You're downvoted because you chose to be pedantic about something that everyone, including the original poster, understood.


Your comment is noise, and is being downvoted as such. There is no point in trying to read too much into it.


You would expect the original comment to be downvoted as well if that were the case.


> You would expect (..)

I would not, and a puerile "but hey started it" doesn't help your case. Noise is noise.


The original comment is noise 'picked right year not to go' - cool story bro


Wasteland Weekend came early this year


I've been to BM during a rainy event - the playa silt is so fine, that when walking around, it built up layers upon layers on the bottom of your shoes, and pretty soon you were walking around in lifted Disco Mud Boots with like 6 inches of mud on the bottoms of your feet.

Was no fun.


Fortunately all the participants embraced radial self-reliance, right?


"Eschew flamebait. Avoid generic tangents."

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html


Thanks for the reminder Dan!


90% of people way overpack for Burning Man to the point where I stopped bringing food the last few years I attended. No one will go hungry, not even the dumbest of sparkle ponies. I wager there's enough food on the playa right now to last at least another two weeks, maybe a month with even a modicum of rationing. The camps I frequent would end up splitting up the left over alcohol the morning of exodus.

The drugs on the other hand? Those might run out well before the food and leave everyone coming down with nothing to do but stare at the mud.


Without drugs, some Burners' happiness now is entirely dependent on solar panels and gas generators for mood music. Tie the vintage scarf to the door latch.

And, yes, some of us Americans will never starve even if food prices go up 10,000%. I wouldn't doubt Home Depot and Costco stocks blip up for the quarter due to the vast "non-consumerism" consumerism preceding said event.


I would hazard enough do and they will all pull together in the face of adversity and make a good time of it.


[flagged]


Very muddy sex.


Comes with grit.


>> radial self-reliance

Chakra, when the rains fell.


Darmok and Jalad at Gerlach


> Chakra, when the rains fell.

You need the Hiraishin no jutsu to get out of the desert.


Where "radial" obviously refers to the circular Black Rock City layout.


You get told from the start that these things happen so I wouldn't be feeling too bad for those who failed to heed advice.


[flagged]


You must gather your party before venturing forth from Ironman


Have any lawsuits been filed yet?


Against who? God?


Old man yells at mud



Against the organizers, probably, for organizing a large event with easily foreseeable risks that were not adequately mitigated.

Waivers and disclaimers are not a defense against negligently creating a risky situation.

Note I'm not saying I endorse this, just expecting it to happen based on the history of US civil law.


> Waivers and disclaimers are not a defense against negligently creating a risky situation.

Yes they are. People know the risks and choose to go, it's that simple as far as I can see.

I think any case would be dismissed outright. Although IANAL so maybe not.


> Yes they are. People know the risks and choose to go, it's that simple as far as I can see.

Not really. Event organizers are required to ensure their venue is safe, regardless of the public perception.


Not when it's something held in a national park like this. It's an organized camp site not a festival. And they are required to ensure it is safe within reason, and it seems like they did that/are doing that.


A history of greed where people can claim ignorance until they are paid off.


Pretty sure there's going to be more than a few against the organizers, and maybe the authorities for allowing it to go through despite the forecasts and not getting people out fast enough. Which is ironic considering the general (or at least loudest) philosophy of Burning Man goers is one of laissez-faire techno libertarianism


Another grumpy HN discussion thread.

@dang can you take HN down for 24 hours so everyone chills? Feels like everyone needs a time-out.

Yes, I know this comment is against the rules… but at least I’m not attacking or misreading someone’s comments.


this definitely sounds like a headline from the same country that blew 2.3 trillion dollars on a 20 year war in afghanistan to replace the taliban with the taliban, and yet somehow their own citizens trapped at a festival are just going to have to conserve food and water until things get better because nothing can be done. Americans posting in the comments will do backflips to insist this is the best way things are supposed to work, things arent that bad, its about personal responsibility and helping is too expensive.

as a reminder nevada has a national guard and The Chinook is a heavy-lift helicopter that is among the heaviest lifting Western helicopters. we have rescue airboats, amphibious LVTP and even airlift capabilities throughout the nevada desert at various military installations. theres absolutely no reason to "conserve food and water."

casual reminder: tickets for this event are $750 including parking. the idea that help is not on the way (even if it isnt immediately necessary) is a little ridiculous to consider. the event has the potential to cause famine, disease, dehydration and death right now. NV has chosen to make no real effort regardless. no activation or regional planning, just thoughts and prayers.


"Eschew flamebait. Avoid generic tangents."

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html


Under the “principles of burning man” (which are largely not known or ignored by a sizable portion of of attendees in 2023), you should be prepared for this sort of event with enough extra food and water to wait it out. And I think a large fraction of the attendees are. If this was the camp I used to run with, the collective response to this would be to view it as an annoyance, but not life threatening - everyone was on top of their shit and had enough food, water, and shelter to last out something like this. And in fact, people would give you shit if you came around asking for help saying that you didn’t expect rain like this. You’re very explicitly told when buying a ticket that shit like this can happen and you should be prepared to deal with it yourself.

Whether this turns into something requiring external help or evacuation depends on what portion of the attendees really are on top of their shit in 2023.


> theres absolutely no reason to "conserve food and water."

Seems like the reason is so folks can get through the next couple of days without involving the National Guard, which is costly. No one's dying; it's just muddy and unpleasant.


1. Burning Man is in Nevada

2. Technically it's not even in Nevada, it's in the Pyramid Lake Paiute Indian Reservation

3. Kind of the entire point of Burning Man is that you are raising a city out of nothing and breaking it down again within the span of a couple weeks against all odds and in one of the least hospitable places on the planet. This is by design. As a participant you are given ample information and time to plan for such eventualities, they are not necessarily predictable but you definitely can and should be prepared for the worst out there. To be blunt, this is what they signed up for. It's a prepper-lite ("radical self-reliance" is one of the founding principles) kind of event. I say this as someone who really enjoyed my time there in past years -- everyone is welcome to attend if they feel up for it, but they are also expected to know what they're getting into and to carry their own weight if things get bad. Not that they will be left to die, as "civic responsibility" is another of the principles embodied by the population of Black Rock City for its duration.

Protip for interested readers: anyone calling Burning Man a "festival" outs themselves as having absolutely no idea what they're talking about and are perpetuating the kinds of narratives that contribute to the flippant and commercialized miasma that has settled around the event over the past years.


It isn't on the Reservation. It is BLM land. Parts of the road (state route) out there are on the Reservation.


That's right. I read somewhere it was held in trust by BLM for the tribe but researching again I can't tell if that specific area is part of the laws that were passed or if it just belongs to BLM outright.


[flagged]


Those words have meanings. Look them up it you don't understand them. They're well used in this context to get the author's point across.

I dunno if I agree with the author. I've never been to Burning Man, but their word usage certainly helps me - a casual onlooker - better understand their frustration.


I wouldn’t be critiquing their choice of words if I didn’t know what they mean. In general flippant is a word that describes attitudes or actions, not a toxic death cloud.


Miasma used here as imagery for rhetorical effect. It really is like a toxic cloud of cultural assumptions and impositions that has choked out a lot of the folks who built the foundation of what makes Burning Man what it is, and not just some festival to wear sparkly clothes and take pictures for Instagram. Not to mention all the money that descends on the event to install shortcuts and cash grabs in an otherwise moneyless, DIY, BYOEverything space.


I understand the usage of miasma, but flippant is just not a normal modifier for that noun.


>as a reminder california has a national guard and The Chinook is a heavy-lift helicopter that is among the heaviest lifting Western helicopters. we have rescue airboats, amphibious LVTP and even airlift capabilities throughout the california desert at various military installations. theres absolutely no reason to "conserve food and water."

so, because taxpayers and revenue have paid for billions of dollars in toys the event-goers should not roll with the punches; 'go ahead and have a great time -- we have a Chinook en route!'

Going to a concert/event/commune/experience isn't some mandatory thing; and the weather isn't somehow unexpected, although it is severe. This isn't the same situation as a typical emergency scene. The comparison to costs of Western war efforts drawn is ridiculous.

Now, if legitimate personal emergencies emerge from the lack of travel access, sure. Roll the services out -- let's save lives; but rain and loss of travel access by itself doesn't constitute the same urgency.


Why should a nation state concern itself with helping some rich people at a festival who have been inconvenienced by a little rain and mud? They have 12 miles to the nearest town and 100 miles to the nearest big city. The festival literally has its own airport but it has been flooded. I suggest they call for helicopters. Many of them probably have their own.




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