NVDA is pretty hyped at this point. If you wanted to buy it, then fall of last year after it fell 60% was the time.
NVDA has a trailing twelve months (TTM) Price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 175x. Based on the latest quarter and forward guidance they have a forward-looking P/E ratio of 50x - So the market is already expecting (and has priced in) even higher expectations of growth than what the stock is already at.
NVDA is expected to at least double their already great growth (to get to P/E of 25x) according to the market. I have my doubts.
They don't set the forward P/E - it's literally what the price of the stock the market bid up / actual earnings points to. The market is expecting them to double or triple their income in the coming quarters/years.
The TTM Price/Earnings ratio is even crazier as the market is expecting them to grow revenue 9x from what they made in the last year (to get back to a 20x P/E).
I know the market is hyped but I just dont see how that is possible. HN please tell me where I am wrong. The only moat Nvidia has is in training. I dont see that disappearing anytime soon. At least not in the next 5 - 8 years. However I also cant see being training only brings 10x revenue on Data Center every year. It is not like older GPU are throw away after use.
I mean PE is accurate, but let's also not forget that hype, and future aspect leads to a PE vastly exceeding that of what the market actually expects.
They expect NVDA to not only dominate GPU market, but have a break through in AI or contribute to it, which would lead to way more money.
Also have to look at the fact, any "AI" portfolio is going to be heavily weighted NVDA stock. And people who may be hedging against a raise in AI or buying into said raise are investing in AI portfolios/ETFs, and thereby a portion of that NVDA.
It's not as simple as how the people above are explaining it.
When I spent time playing individual stocks I actually made decent money waiting for big spikes like this, hopping on the bandwagon intraday and just taking 1-2% in the hype train. It's part day trading part picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. The few times I really got burned is getting greedy and holding overnight or over a weekend.
I'm really curious to see where NVDA stands on Tuesday morning.
NVDA has a trailing twelve months (TTM) Price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 175x. Based on the latest quarter and forward guidance they have a forward-looking P/E ratio of 50x - So the market is already expecting (and has priced in) even higher expectations of growth than what the stock is already at.
NVDA is expected to at least double their already great growth (to get to P/E of 25x) according to the market. I have my doubts.
You can compare this to the historical averages of the S&P 500: https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio