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It won't, because the current inflation is supplyside-driven, not expectations-driven. But if we transition to an expectations-driven inflation regime, that's really bad, because it would require much more severe action to bring under control. The Fed is doing this as a preventive measure to keep expectations-driven inflation from taking hold. It sucks, but it's being done to prevent more pain later.


I disagree. Supply constraints were a figment of unsustainable demand. There was simply too much money sloshing around to satisfy the hedonistic human treadmill of MORE!


But most measures of demand for durable goods show that it is up.


> It won't, because the current inflation is supplyside-driven, not expectations-driven. But if we transition to an expectations-driven inflation regime, that's really bad, because it would require much more severe action to bring under control. The Fed is doing this as a preventive measure to keep expectations-driven inflation from taking hold. It sucks, but it's being done to prevent more pain later.

We have differing definition of common sense.




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