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The government changes the period of inflation as convenient. When inflation is rising rapidly, they push annual inflation figures. When inflation is moderating, they push monthly figures.

Inflation follows the money printing with a lag of around 13 months. The government just printed a trillion dollars to erase student loan debt. Get ready for another round of inflation. Also the "Inflation Reduction Act", another free-spending bill which will add another chunk to inflation.



> The government changes the period of inflation as convenient.

No, it doesn’t. At least, the present administration hasn't been.

> When inflation is rising rapidly, they push annual inflation figures. When inflation is moderating, they push monthly figures.

The present administration has been fairly consistently focusing on the monthly 12-month trailing figure, which has also been the headline number for, well, ever.

> Inflation follows the money printing with a lag of around 13 months.

Looking at the history of monetary policy changes, QE rounds, and monthly inflation rates, there’s absolutely no support for that at all.


> there’s absolutely no support for that at all.

Look at the money supply changes layered over inflation.


That's just obvious enough that we might have already done it. We might, for instance, have looked at the inflation data 13 months after Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4. And based on that data, we might have reached conclusions that are spectacularly different from yours.

If you want to convince us, you're going to have to do more than just say "look at the data" and repeat your previous point. Specifically what data are you looking at, and over what time frame, and how do you think it demonstrates your position?


It's a chart by the WSJ, but I've made repeated searches on wsj.com and can't find it. It's pretty frustrating, as I'd really like to cite it.




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