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> in any given year there is perhaps a 1% chance that they shut down AWS with no chance to retrieve data

That would translate to 64% chance in 100 years. Seems plausible :)



I think it has already happened to customers based in Iran last time the USA changed their stance? I don't think those customers got any notice to download data.


The distribution of probabilities over a 100 year period won't be uniform




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