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kul
on Oct 4, 2008
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XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade'...
Monte Carlo simulations is what they used to work out the odds of sub-prime defaults in their CDOs.
byrneseyeview
on Oct 4, 2008
[–]
I can assure you that they use addition and subtraction far more often than they use the Monte Carlo method. Adjust your behavior accordingly.
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