The "stock" for Obama is at 67.9% on inTrade. Could make 42% on money risked if ... | Hacker News

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		steveplace on Oct 4, 2008 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade'... The "stock" for Obama is at 67.9% on inTrade. Could make 42% on money risked if you're right.

sharksandwich on Oct 4, 2008 [–]

If you buy at 68 and the prop is true, you get ~47%

steveplace on Oct 4, 2008 | [–]

I've never played intrade's markets, so I don't know how liquid the contracts are... but there is an arb play here if you can time it properly.

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