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There's a sense that once "lockdown" ends, thing go back to normal. In other words, the "V" shaped recovery is the dominant mental model.

Should that not materialize, the disappointment and anger will reach level not seen in most people's lifetimes.

One reason the V-scenario might not play out is that the US still doesn't have a handle on the testing problem. Without testing, you have no way to estimate the danger to the public of normalizing economic activity. At the first sign of a new outbreak, the entire lockdown cycle will repeat.

Too few people will have gained immunity, and the disease is far too contagious and deadly to take any chances. We still don't know what "immunity" looks like at any rate.

Alternatively, the lies about testing may have burned people so badly by the time the "all clear" is given (whatever that looks like), that few will believe it. The effect would be a national strike/boycott.



> Should that not materialize

And soon. A great many people have a low tolerance for indefinite lockdowns. The longer we go without any kind of plan, the more likely it becomes that people will begin disregarding it. I already see that the amount of traffic on the roads is increasing over time.

What we need are leaders, and it's glaringly obvious that in most states we don't have that. During peacetime nobody notices, but when the SHTF the leadership vacuum is palpable.




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